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What this means. A wallet put $1.57M on Yes, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?excluded
$1.57M
BUY Yes @ 42¢ · 3,776,369 shares in 14 fills
Size ≥ $250k14 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet imnotawizard took Yes (buy) for $1.57M at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $1.57M+3
14 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+140American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
42¢
Implied odds
41.6%
As American odds
+140 no vig
Size
$1.57M
Placed
Apr 14, 14:58 EDT
Market close
Apr 14, 15:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
imnotawizard
Tx
0x9879e20c…

Entry to resolution

Grade -42 pts
Yes price · entry 42¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 42¢ · $1.57M WHALE $1.57M @ 42¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% 0x20d6…3856193d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.2k0% berbisminsk193d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $47.6k
2.3× usual
0% olegio193d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $29.0k0% GrizzliesSuck193d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $43.8k0% Netrol193d agoexcluded
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $23.9k0% rndmb3193d agoexcluded