← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $254.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$254.8k
BUY No @ 57¢ · 448,596 shares in 6 fills
Size ≥ $250k6 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ripley86alien took No (buy) for $254.8k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $254.8k+3
6 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 57¢ means
57%chance the market gave
−131American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 57¢
- Implied odds
- 56.8%
- As American odds
- −131 no vig
- Size
- $254.8k
- Placed
- Sep 07, 11:57 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 07, 12:30 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ripley86alien
- Tx
- 0x97642f5a…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -57 ptsNo price · entry 57¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-07? | LOW BUY No @ 54¢ | $15.2k | missed |
| Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-07? | MED BUY No @ 54¢ | $50.1k | missed |