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What this means. A wallet put $277.6k on Texas Rangers, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$277.6k
BUY Texas Rangers @ 51¢ · 544,295 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250k3 fills in 1h2.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Sassy-Bucket took Texas Rangers (buy) for $277.6k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Arizona Diamondbacks, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $277.6k+3
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Texas Rangers wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.0%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $277.6k
- Placed
- May 11, 18:22 EDT
- Market close
- May 11, 20:05 EDT
- Result
- Arizona Diamondbacks
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Sassy-Bucket
- Tx
- 0x95663b45…
This wallet's graded record
4/12-16.2 pts
expected 6.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsTexas Rangers price · entry 51¢ · resolved Arizona Diamondbacks
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Arizona Diamondbacks @ 50¢ | $25.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Arizona Diamondbacks @ 47¢ | $11.8k | called |