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What this means. A wallet put $277.6k on Texas Rangers, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersmissed
$277.6k
BUY Texas Rangers @ 51¢ · 544,295 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250k3 fills in 1h2.2× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet Sassy-Bucket took Texas Rangers (buy) for $277.6k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Arizona Diamondbacks, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $277.6k+3
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Texas Rangers wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
51¢
Implied odds
51.0%
As American odds
−104 no vig
Size
$277.6k
Placed
May 11, 18:22 EDT
Market close
May 11, 20:05 EDT
Result
Arizona Diamondbacks
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Sassy-Bucket
Tx
0x95663b45…
This wallet's graded record
4/12-16.2 pts
expected 6.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -51 pts
Texas Rangers price · entry 51¢ · resolved Arizona Diamondbacks
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 51¢ · $277.6k WHALE $277.6K @ 51¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas RangersLOW BUY Arizona Diamondbacks @ 50¢ $25.0k50% Lolol12345166d agoexcluded
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas RangersLOW BUY Arizona Diamondbacks @ 47¢ $11.8k47% duckfriedrice166d agocalled