← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $11.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.5k
SELL Yes @ 53¢ · 21,677 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet AgricultureSecretary took Yes (sell) for $11.5k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 47.0%
- Size
- $11.5k
- Placed
- Sep 04, 08:31 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- AgricultureSecretary
- Tx
- 0x9529a8e6…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+34.3 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -47 ptsYes price · entry 53¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.5k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $28.5k | excluded |