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What this means. A wallet put $14.5k on Arthur Gea, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-10.9 pts over 29 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.5k
BUY Arthur Gea @ 41¢ · 35,427 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x3dfb…abaf took Arthur Gea (buy) for $14.5k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved Botic van de Zandschulp. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 41¢ means
41%chance the market gave
+144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Arthur Gea wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 41¢
- Implied odds
- 41.0%
- As American odds
- +144 no vig
- Size
- $14.5k
- Placed
- Sep 07, 16:46 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 07, 16:45 EDT
- Result
- Botic van de Zandschulp
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x3dfb…abaf
- Tx
- 0x9453a409…
This wallet's graded record
13/29-10.9 pts
expected 16.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -41 ptsArthur Gea price · entry 41¢ · resolved Botic van de Zandschulp
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp | MED SELL Botic van de Zandschulp @ 99.9¢ | $334.8k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp | LOW SELL Botic van de Zandschulp @ 99.9¢ | $32.7k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp | LOW SELL Botic van de Zandschulp @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp | LOW SELL Botic van de Zandschulp @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp | LOW SELL Botic van de Zandschulp @ 70¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp | LOW BUY Botic van de Zandschulp @ 82¢ | $12.3k | excluded |