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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$19.3k

Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Caroline Werner

0xc1a9…e2db sold Elsa Jacquemot at 99.9¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 0% chance. 19,304 shares, Oct 28, 12:06 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $19.3k on not Elsa Jacquemot, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market resolved Elsa Jacquemot, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0xc1a9…e2db sold Elsa Jacquemot for $19.3k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 0% for the side they took. The market resolved Elsa Jacquemot. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 1 of 1 on graded bets, +28.0 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $19.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Caroline WernerLOW BUY Elsa Jacquemot @ 77¢ $12.9k77% 0xc1a9…e2db1d agoCalled