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What this means. A wallet put $11.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 29% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.9k
BUY No @ 29¢ · 41,235 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEconomy
What happened
Wallet surf took No (buy) for $11.9k at an average 29¢. At that price the market implied a 29% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 29¢ means
29%chance the market gave
+246American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 29¢
- Implied odds
- 28.9%
- Size
- $11.9k
- Placed
- Jul 27, 21:37 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- surf
- Tx
- 0x9316b6a3…
This wallet's graded record
2/6+3.6 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -29 ptsNo price · entry 29¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.1k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |