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What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on Francisco Cerundolo, at a price that gave it a 63% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.7k
BUY Francisco Cerundolo @ 63¢ · 17,060 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Luzzzer took Francisco Cerundolo (buy) for $10.7k at an average 63¢. At that price the market implied a 63% chance for that side. The market resolved Tallon Griekspoor. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 63¢ means
63%chance the market gave
−168American odds
$1.00paid per share if Francisco Cerundolo wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 63¢
- Implied odds
- 62.6%
- As American odds
- −168 no vig
- Size
- $10.7k
- Placed
- Oct 24, 10:20 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 24, 10:05 EDT
- Result
- Tallon Griekspoor
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Luzzzer
- Tx
- 0x91c9fcf5…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -63 ptsFrancisco Cerundolo price · entry 63¢ · resolved Tallon Griekspoor
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon Griekspoor | LOW SELL Tallon Griekspoor @ 99.9¢ | $64.3k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon Griekspoor | LOW BUY Tallon Griekspoor @ 88¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon Griekspoor | LOW BUY Tallon Griekspoor @ 39¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon Griekspoor | LOW BUY Francisco Cerundolo @ 84¢ | $20.2k | excluded |
| European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon Griekspoor | LOW SELL Francisco Cerundolo @ 85¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| YES Tallon Griekspoor | $19.5k | 88¢ | 1h ago |
| NO Francisco Cerundolo | $25.0k | 88¢ | 1h ago |
| NO Francisco Cerundolo | $16.8k | 73¢ | 1h ago |
| YES Francisco Cerundolo | $15.9k | 84¢ | 2h ago |
| YES Francisco Cerundolo | $25.6k | 85¢ | 2h ago |
| YES Francisco Cerundolo | $10.8k | 78¢ | 2h ago |
| YES Francisco Cerundolo | $11.6k | 62¢ | 2h ago |
| YES Francisco Cerundolo | $16.3k | 67¢ | 2h ago |