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What this means. A wallet put $20.8k on Bulls, at a price that gave it a 21% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Bulls vs. Raptorsmissed
$20.8k
BUY Bulls @ 21¢ · 99,057 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports

What happened

Wallet EdZachary took Bulls (buy) for $20.8k at an average 21¢. At that price the market implied a 21% chance for that side. The market resolved Raptors, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $20.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 21¢ means
21%chance the market gave
+376American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bulls wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
21¢
Implied odds
21.0%
As American odds
+376 no vig
Size
$20.8k
Placed
Oct 21, 17:45 EDT
Market close
Oct 21, 19:30 EDT
Result
Raptors
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
EdZachary
Tx
0x8e77408b…
This wallet's graded record
2/8-15.9 pts
expected 3.3 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -21 pts
Bulls price · entry 21¢ · resolved Raptors
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 21¢ · $20.8k WHALE $20.8K @ 21¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Bulls vs. RaptorsLOW BUY Raptors @ 85¢ $20.9k85% neutralwave23 PROVEN2d agoexcluded