← Live flags
Bulls vs. Raptorsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $20.8k on Bulls, at a price that gave it a 21% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.8k
BUY Bulls @ 21¢ · 99,057 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet EdZachary took Bulls (buy) for $20.8k at an average 21¢. At that price the market implied a 21% chance for that side. The market resolved Raptors, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 21¢ means
21%chance the market gave
+376American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bulls wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 21¢
- Implied odds
- 21.0%
- As American odds
- +376 no vig
- Size
- $20.8k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 17:45 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- Raptors
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- EdZachary
- Tx
- 0x8e77408b…
This wallet's graded record
2/8-15.9 pts
expected 3.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -21 ptsBulls price · entry 21¢ · resolved Raptors
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Raptors @ 85¢ | $20.9k | excluded |