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Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $245.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 31% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?excluded$245.2k
BUY Yes @ 31¢ · 802,761 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 1two1two took Yes (buy) for $245.2k at an average 31¢. At that price the market implied a 31% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $245.2k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 31¢ means
31%chance the market gave
+227American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 31¢
- Implied odds
- 30.5%
- As American odds
- +227 no vig
- Size
- $245.2k
- Placed
- Jun 28, 16:29 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 28, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 1two1two
- Tx
- 0x8ccd28ae…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +69 ptsYes price · entry 31¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.5k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $131.1k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.4k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | MED SELL Yes @ 96.1¢ | $71.8k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |