← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $11.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 78% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.7k
BUY Yes @ 78¢ · 14,962 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet Elias.Thornwell took Yes (buy) for $11.7k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 78% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 78¢ means
78%chance the market gave
−355American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 78¢
- Implied odds
- 78.0%
- Size
- $11.7k
- Placed
- Sep 13, 17:40 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Elias.Thornwell
- Tx
- 0x899b9c2a…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+22.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +22 ptsYes price · entry 78¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.5k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $28.5k | excluded |