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What this means. A wallet put $40.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$40.0k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 40,087 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)2× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet cripes3 took No (sell) for $40.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $40.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $40.0k
- Placed
- Feb 13, 12:07 EST
- Market close
- Feb 10, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- cripes3
- Tx
- 0x87d5c602…
This wallet's graded record
5/9+2.0 pts
expected 4.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $28.3k | excluded |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day? | LOW BUY No @ 90¢ | $18.0k | excluded |