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What this means. A wallet put $35.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?excluded
$35.4k
BUY Yes @ 93¢ · 38,110 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports

What happened

Wallet swisstony took Yes (buy) for $35.4k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $35.4k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1323American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
93¢
Implied odds
93.0%
As American odds
−1323 no vig
Size
$35.4k
Placed
Jun 28, 16:53 EDT
Market close
Jun 28, 15:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
swisstony
Tx
0x84a2da93…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $18.8k0% neutralwave23118d agoexcluded
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $40.5k0% CosplayGaoJin118d agoexcluded
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $131.1k
3.4× usual
0% 0xf751…fec8118d agoexcluded
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $31.4k0% Palauanbull118d agoexcluded
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?MED SELL Yes @ 96.1¢ $71.8k
3.7× usual
4% suntori LOSING118d agoexcluded
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% Iconicsoundsdk118d agoexcluded