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Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $35.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$35.4k
BUY Yes @ 93¢ · 38,110 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took Yes (buy) for $35.4k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $35.4k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1323American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 93¢
- Implied odds
- 93.0%
- As American odds
- −1323 no vig
- Size
- $35.4k
- Placed
- Jun 28, 16:53 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 28, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x84a2da93…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $131.1k 3.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.4k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 96.1¢ | $71.8k 3.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |