← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $30.0k on Yi Zhou, at a price that gave it a 84% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.0k
BUY Yi Zhou @ 84¢ · 35,920 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x246b…fb5b took Yi Zhou (buy) for $30.0k at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 84% chance for that side. The market resolved Yi Zhou. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $30.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 84¢ means
84%chance the market gave
−507American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yi Zhou wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 84¢
- Implied odds
- 83.5%
- As American odds
- −507 no vig
- Size
- $30.0k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 01:53 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 01:45 EDT
- Result
- Yi Zhou
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x246b…fb5b
- Tx
- 0x84099567…
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Entry to resolution
Grade +16 ptsYi Zhou price · entry 84¢ · resolved Yi Zhou
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Guangzhou 2: Yi Zhou vs Andre Ilagan | LOW SELL Yi Zhou @ 99.9¢ | $35.9k | excluded |
| Guangzhou 2: Yi Zhou vs Andre Ilagan | LOW BUY Yi Zhou @ 83¢ | $32.9k | excluded |
| Guangzhou 2: Yi Zhou vs Andre Ilagan | LOW Yi Zhou UP +10.0 pts $62.9k whale money behind it | $119.1k 24h vol |
excluded |
| Guangzhou 2: Yi Zhou vs Andre Ilagan | LOW BUY Andre Ilagan @ 39¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| NO Andre Ilagan | $17.7k | 95¢ | 1d ago |
| NO Andre Ilagan | $24.5k | 94¢ | 1d ago |
| NO Andre Ilagan | $18.2k | 77¢ | 1d ago |
| NO Andre Ilagan | $20.4k | 64¢ | 1d ago |
| YES Yi Zhou | $20.7k | 64¢ | 1d ago |