← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $2.59M on Yes, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$2.59M
BUY Yes @ 62¢ · 4,208,847 shares in 15 fills
Size ≥ $250k15 fills in 1h2.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0xe6ca…bff4 took Yes (buy) for $2.59M at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $2.59M+3
15 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−160American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 62¢
- Implied odds
- 61.5%
- As American odds
- −160 no vig
- Size
- $2.59M
- Placed
- Sep 24, 11:58 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 24, 14:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xe6ca…bff4
- Tx
- 0x81b954e7…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-65.7 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +38 ptsYes price · entry 62¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $4.17M 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | HIGH BUY No @ 40¢ | $838.5k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | LOW BUY No @ 41¢ | $30.0k | excluded |