← Live flags
Polymarket · Crypto · one bet
Called
$14.4k
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
duneprd2 bought Yes at 95¢. The price gave that side a 95% chance. 15,152 shares, Oct 29, 16:43 EDT.
What this means. A wallet put $14.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet duneprd2 bought Yes for $14.4k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied 95% for the side they took. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called. It still counts toward the score.
This wallet is 1 of 1 on graded bets, +5.0 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $14.4k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteFresh walletCrypto
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1885American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Entry to resolution
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsYes price · entry 95¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
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Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules