← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $408.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 64% chance. It won. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$408.2k
BUY Yes @ 64¢ · 637,827 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250k3 fills in 1h4.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x5966…f804 took Yes (buy) for $408.2k at an average 64¢. At that price the market implied a 64% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $408.2k+3
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 64¢ means
64%chance the market gave
−178American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 64¢
- Implied odds
- 64.0%
- As American odds
- −178 no vig
- Size
- $408.2k
- Placed
- Jun 13, 12:38 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 13, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x5966…f804
- Tx
- 0x79a6bdb8…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-10.0 pts
expected 3.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +36 ptsYes price · entry 64¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $249.8k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.1k | excluded |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $65.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | excluded |