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What this means. A wallet put $32.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?pending
$32.2k
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ · 32,281 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Crypto

What happened

Wallet CoinTrick took Yes (sell) for $32.2k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $32.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
0.2%
Size
$32.2k
Placed
Oct 22, 16:50 EDT
Market close
Oct 22, 12:00 EDT
Result
not settled yet
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
CoinTrick
Tx
0x6c1b75bb…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-19.8 pts
expected 0.2 from price

Price since this bet

Since entry -0.2 pts
Yes price · entry 99.8¢ · now 100¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
25¢56¢87¢ Whale entry 99.8¢ · $32.2k WHALE $32.2K @ 99.8¢ -0 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

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