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What this means. A wallet put $54.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 11% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?missed
$54.7k
SELL Yes @ 89¢ · 61,222 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Politics

What happened

Wallet 0x6bd4…8aca took Yes (sell) for $54.7k at an average 89¢. At that price the market implied a 11% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $54.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
89¢
Implied odds
10.7%
Size
$54.7k
Placed
Oct 28, 14:58 EDT
Market close
Nov 04, 07:00 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x6bd4…8aca
Tx
0x69fbbf19…
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -11 pts
Yes price · entry 89¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 89¢ · $54.7k WHALE $54.7K @ 89¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $22.4k0% 0xe7b2…f558353d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $23.0k0% 0x80c5…65d1353d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $33.3k0% 0xa60e…d332353d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $163.4k
6.5× usual
0% Gmoas353d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.7k0% 0x8b66…02ed353d agoexcluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $63.6k0% 0x1c0b…9f41353d agoexcluded