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What this means. A wallet put $43.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?excluded
$43.0k
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ · 43,020 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports

What happened

Wallet swisstony took Yes (buy) for $43.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $43.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$43.0k
Placed
Aug 21, 16:33 EDT
Market close
Aug 21, 15:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
swisstony
Tx
0x6402ba52…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $100.7k
4.3× usual
0% anon.1980.12364d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?HIGH SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $281.0k0% 0x91dd…600b NEW64d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $14.1k0% vmb64d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 97¢ $10.3k3% n.maga64d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?HIGH BUY Yes @ 81¢ $227.9k81% 0x91dd…600b NEW64d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?LOW BUY No @ 20¢ $11.9k20% BaccaratRoulette64d agoexcluded