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What this means. A wallet put $25.0k on Over, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5excluded
$25.0k
BUY Over @ 48¢ · 52,388 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x8a6c…0b3f took Over (buy) for $25.0k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $25.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+110American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
48¢
Implied odds
47.7%
As American odds
+110 no vig
Size
$25.0k
Placed
Mar 02, 14:47 EST
Market close
Mar 02, 15:00 EST
Result
Under
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x8a6c…0b3f
Tx
0x60405602…
This wallet's graded record
1/5-29.0 pts
expected 2.4 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -48 pts
Over price · entry 48¢ · resolved Under
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 48¢ · $25.0k WHALE $25.0K @ 48¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Under @ 47¢ $10.3k47% swisstony PROVEN235d agoexcluded
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Under @ 53¢ $16.8k53% swisstony PROVEN236d agocalled
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Over @ 49¢ $20.0k49% coldsoup22236d agomissed