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What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on Over, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.0k
BUY Over @ 49¢ · 40,816 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet coldsoup22 took Over (buy) for $20.0k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.0%
- As American odds
- +104 no vig
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Mar 02, 00:15 EST
- Market close
- Mar 02, 15:00 EST
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- coldsoup22
- Tx
- 0xbc4aeae8…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-49.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -49 ptsOver price · entry 49¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 47¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 48¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 53¢ | $16.8k | called |