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What this means. A wallet put $11.5k on US Sassuolo Calcio, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-13.7 pts over 30 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)missed
$11.5k
BUY US Sassuolo Calcio @ 58¢ · 19,814 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took US Sassuolo Calcio (buy) for $11.5k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Como 1907, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if US Sassuolo Calcio wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
58¢
Implied odds
58.0%
As American odds
−138 no vig
Size
$11.5k
Placed
Oct 24, 07:03 EDT
Market close
Oct 24, 09:00 EDT
Result
Como 1907
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
ferrariChampions2026
Tx
0x5ea6b65d…
This wallet's graded record
14/30-13.7 pts
expected 18.1 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -58 pts
US Sassuolo Calcio price · entry 58¢ · resolved Como 1907
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 58¢ · $11.5k WHALE $11.5K @ 58¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)LOW BUY Como 1907 @ 43¢ $37.3k43% Jokerxing713h agoexcluded

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.

YES Como$11.4k96¢11h ago