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What this means. A wallet put $99.9k on Over, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5excluded
$99.9k
BUY Over @ 99.9¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)6.2× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet Flaznorp took Over (buy) for $99.9k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $99.9k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$99.9k
Placed
Oct 23, 10:39 EDT
Market close
Oct 23, 09:30 EDT
Result
Over
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Flaznorp
Tx
0x5cdc5e5d…
This wallet's graded record
9/10+8.2 pts
expected 8.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
Over price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Over
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $99.9k WHALE $99.9K @ 99.9¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5MED SELL Over @ 99.9¢ $81.0k0% thetesterguy NEW1d agoexcluded

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.

YES Al Nassr$11.9k82¢1d ago