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What this means. A wallet put $99.9k on Over, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$99.9k
BUY Over @ 99.9¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)6.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Flaznorp took Over (buy) for $99.9k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $99.9k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $99.9k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 10:39 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 09:30 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Flaznorp
- Tx
- 0x5cdc5e5d…
This wallet's graded record
9/10+8.2 pts
expected 8.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsOver price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Over
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $81.0k | excluded |
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| YES Al Nassr | $11.9k | 82¢ | 1d ago |