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What this means. A wallet put $21.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 13% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.8k
SELL Yes @ 87¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)2.1× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet justme003 took Yes (sell) for $21.8k at an average 87¢. At that price the market implied a 13% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 87¢
- Implied odds
- 13.0%
- Size
- $21.8k
- Placed
- Jul 06, 09:14 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- justme003
- Tx
- 0x5b578ff2…
This wallet's graded record
2/4+37.7 pts
expected 0.5 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.1k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |