← Live flags
Polymarket · Other · one bet
OpenResolves Dec 31
$34.3k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
AMike sold No at 88¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 12% chance. 38,730 shares, Oct 29, 13:41 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $34.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 12% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet AMike sold No for $34.3k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied 12% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $34.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.1 ptsNo price · entry 88¢ · now 88¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.