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Avalanche vs. Devilsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $219.7k on Avalanche, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Avalanche vs. Devilsexcluded$219.7k
BUY Avalanche @ 49¢ · 450,624 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $100k4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Sassy-Bucket took Avalanche (buy) for $219.7k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Devils. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $219.7k+2
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+105American odds
$1.00paid per share if Avalanche wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 48.8%
- As American odds
- +105 no vig
- Size
- $219.7k
- Placed
- Oct 20, 18:07 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 20, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Devils
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Sassy-Bucket
- Tx
- 0x58b43f8c…
This wallet's graded record
4/12-16.2 pts
expected 6.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -49 ptsAvalanche price · entry 49¢ · resolved Devils
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.