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Polymarket · Politics · one bet
OpenResolves Nov 3
$10.5k
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
0x82d5…48b0 bought Yes at 64¢. The price gave that side a 64% chance. 16,225 shares, Oct 28, 09:49 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 64% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet 0x82d5…48b0 bought Yes for $10.5k at an average 64¢. At that price the market implied 64% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $10.5k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletPolitics
What 64¢ means
64%chance the market gave
−181American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +2.6 ptsYes price · entry 64¢ · now 67¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.