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Polymarket · Other · one bet

OpenResolves Oct 30
$12.4k

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?

Buy1Get1Free bought No at 99.9¢. The price gave that side a 100% chance. 12,399 shares, Oct 30, 03:39 EDT.

Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $12.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet Buy1Get1Free bought No for $12.4k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 100% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $12.4k+0
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry +0.1 pts
No price · entry 99.9¢ · now 100¢
95¢99¢102¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $12.4k WHALE $12.4K @ 99.9¢ +0 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.8k100% Buy1Get1Free4h agoOpenResolves Oct 30