Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

0x7e1b…68cb sold Yes at 67¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 33% chance. 28,274 shares, Oct 29, 15:03 EDT.

Alert on this market Alert on this wallet

Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $19.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 33% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →

[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0x7e1b…68cb sold Yes for $19.0k at an average 67¢. At that price the market implied 33% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $19.0k+0

Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1

Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2

Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletPolitics

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry -3.3 pts

Yes price · entry 67¢ · now 70¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way

Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Can Democrats win against Elon Musk's millions in Texas? – videoThe Guardian · 13h ago Four investigations Democrats could launch if they win control of CongressBBC News · 1d ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

DOWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?