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Polymarket · Other · one bet
OpenResolves Dec 31
$10.4k
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
tiya1 bought No at 64¢. The price gave that side a 64% chance. 16,226 shares, Oct 28, 22:24 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 64% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet tiya1 bought No for $10.4k at an average 64¢. At that price the market implied 64% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What 64¢ means
64%chance the market gave
−178American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +1.5 ptsNo price · entry 64¢ · now 66¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.