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Magic vs. Celticscalled
What this means. A wallet put $20.8k on not Magic, at a price that gave it a 16% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Magic vs. Celticscalled$20.8k
SELL Magic @ 84¢ · 24,805 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet spx11 took Magic (sell) for $20.8k at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 16% chance for that side. The market resolved Celtics, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 84¢
- Implied odds
- 16.0%
- As American odds
- +525 no vig
- Size
- $20.8k
- Placed
- Apr 12, 13:00 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 12, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- Celtics
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- spx11
- Tx
- 0x54a8aeb7…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-13.6 pts
expected 1.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +84 ptsMagic price · entry 84¢ · resolved Celtics · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. Celtics | LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Celtics | LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Celtics | LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ | $19.2k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Celtics | MED SELL Celtics @ 96.3¢ | $43.4k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Magic vs. Celtics | LOW SELL Celtics @ 82¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Celtics | MED SELL Celtics @ 80¢ | $32.7k | excluded |