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What this means. A wallet put $39.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 6% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$39.3k
SELL Yes @ 94.1¢ · 41,768 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet 0x840f…48e4 took Yes (sell) for $39.3k at an average 94.1¢. At that price the market implied a 6% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $39.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 94.1¢
- Implied odds
- 5.9%
- Size
- $39.3k
- Placed
- Oct 25, 09:38 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 04, 07:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x840f…48e4
- Tx
- 0x543186bc…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -6 ptsYes price · entry 94.1¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.4k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $33.3k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $163.4k 6.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $63.6k | excluded |