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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$22.7k

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner

aaaa298 sold Natus Vincere at 99.9¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 0% chance. 22,740 shares, Oct 28, 12:33 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $22.7k on not Natus Vincere, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market resolved Natus Vincere, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet aaaa298 sold Natus Vincere for $22.7k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied 0% for the side they took. The market resolved Natus Vincere. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $22.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
Natus Vincere price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Natus Vincere · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $22.7k WHALE $22.7K @ 99.9¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerLOW SELL Natus Vincere @ 99.9¢ $12.3k0% iii2521d agoExcluded