Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

0xc8b9…b836 bought No at 81¢. The price gave that side a 81% chance. 14,897 shares, Oct 28, 13:29 EDT.

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What this means. A wallet put $12.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 81% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →

[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0xc8b9…b836 bought No for $12.1k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied 81% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $12.1k+0

Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other

What 81¢ means

81%chance the market gave

−426American odds

$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry +4.5 pts

No price · entry 81¢ · now 86¢

Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Some rural Republicans in California say redistricting has left them without a voiceNPR · 9h ago A Mississippi Democrat is unexpectedly threatening Republicans’ grip on the US SenateThe Guardian · 17h ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

RWWill the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?