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What this means. A wallet put $473.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?excluded
$473.9k
BUY No @ 38¢ · 1,231,103 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $250k5 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports

What happened

Wallet bullyboys took No (buy) for $473.9k at an average 38¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $473.9k+3
5 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 38¢ means
38%chance the market gave
+160American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
38¢
Implied odds
38.5%
As American odds
+160 no vig
Size
$473.9k
Placed
Jun 13, 20:45 EDT
Market close
Jun 13, 21:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
bullyboys
Tx
0x4e936dfb…

Entry to resolution

Grade -38 pts
No price · entry 38¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 38¢ · $473.9k WHALE $473.9K @ 38¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.6k0% FirstStep132d agoexcluded
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $249.8k
2.7× usual
0% 0x5966…f804132d agoexcluded
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $24.3k0% ThePREDICTORRRR132d agoexcluded
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.1k0% PT-S2132d agoexcluded
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $65.0k
2.1× usual
0% trillionaire132d agoexcluded
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.6k0% Dreamwalker132d agoexcluded