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Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $473.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$473.9k
BUY No @ 38¢ · 1,231,103 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $250k5 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet bullyboys took No (buy) for $473.9k at an average 38¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $473.9k+3
5 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 38¢ means
38%chance the market gave
+160American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 38¢
- Implied odds
- 38.5%
- As American odds
- +160 no vig
- Size
- $473.9k
- Placed
- Jun 13, 20:45 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 13, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- bullyboys
- Tx
- 0x4e936dfb…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -38 ptsNo price · entry 38¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $249.8k 2.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $24.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $65.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | excluded |