← Live flags
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $19.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?excluded$19.9k
SELL Yes @ 99.4¢ · 19,986 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther
What happened
Wallet Pakpakpakpak took Yes (sell) for $19.9k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.4¢
- Implied odds
- 0.6%
- Size
- $19.9k
- Placed
- Apr 07, 19:28 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 07, 21:24 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Pakpakpakpak
- Tx
- 0x4afd37cf…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -1 ptsYes price · entry 99.4¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $143.7k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $47.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $68.2k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $110.5k 2.2× usual |
excluded |