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What this means. A wallet put $1.94M on Yes, at a price that gave it a 67% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$1.94M
BUY Yes @ 67¢ · 2,906,504 shares in 14 fills
Size ≥ $250k14 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet tubeyou took Yes (buy) for $1.94M at an average 67¢. At that price the market implied a 67% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $1.94M+3
14 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 67¢ means
67%chance the market gave
−200American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 67¢
- Implied odds
- 66.7%
- As American odds
- −200 no vig
- Size
- $1.94M
- Placed
- May 24, 14:04 EDT
- Market close
- May 24, 09:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- tubeyou
- Tx
- 0x4a48cc36…
This wallet's graded record
4/7+4.8 pts
expected 3.7 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $45.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded | |
| MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $388.7k 9.7× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 85¢ | $20.0k | excluded |