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Polymarket · Politics · one bet

OpenResolves Nov 3
$10.0k

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

HowBoutThemCowboys bought Yes at 38¢. The price gave that side a 38% chance. 26,316 shares, Oct 28, 18:10 EDT.

Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet HowBoutThemCowboys bought Yes for $10.0k at an average 38¢. At that price the market implied 38% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $10.0k+0
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What 38¢ means
38%chance the market gave
+163American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry -1.5 pts
Yes price · entry 38¢ · now 36¢
33¢37¢42¢ Whale entry 38¢ · $10.0k WHALE $10.0K @ 38¢ -2 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules