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What this means. A wallet put $17.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 73% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?excluded
$17.1k
BUY No @ 73¢ · 23,387 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports

What happened

Wallet swisstony took No (buy) for $17.1k at an average 73¢. At that price the market implied a 73% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $17.1k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 73¢ means
73%chance the market gave
−270American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
73¢
Implied odds
73.0%
As American odds
−270 no vig
Size
$17.1k
Placed
Jun 23, 19:32 EDT
Market close
Jun 23, 19:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
swisstony
Tx
0x48e69dd0…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +27 pts
No price · entry 73¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 73¢ · $17.1k WHALE $17.1K @ 73¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $22.3k89% swisstony PROVEN123d agoexcluded
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?LOW BUY No @ 78¢ $24.2k78% mooseborzoi LOSING123d agocalled
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?LOW BUY No @ 79¢ $12.3k79% dsa33123d agocalled
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?LOW BUY No @ 78¢ $21.6k78% ouhuang888123d agocalled
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?LOW BUY No @ 78¢ $11.7k78% zrxhz666123d agocalled