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What this means. A wallet put $12.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.5k
BUY No @ 42¢ · 29,696 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took No (buy) for $12.5k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.5k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+138American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 42¢
- Implied odds
- 42.0%
- As American odds
- +138 no vig
- Size
- $12.5k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 12:14 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 26, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0x48b4f9e3…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -42 ptsNo price · entry 42¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.8k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |