← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $33.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$33.9k
SELL No @ 98.5¢ · 34,466 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet madril took No (sell) for $33.9k at an average 98.5¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $33.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.5¢
- Implied odds
- 1.5%
- Size
- $33.9k
- Placed
- Nov 07, 09:10 EST
- Market close
- Dec 09, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- madril
- Tx
- 0x46ddf88b…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+35.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $1.42M 27.5× usual |
excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $368.9k 7.1× usual |
excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $35.4k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $93.1k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $531.0k 10.3× usual |
excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $35.4k | excluded |