← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $12.2k on Aurora Gaming, at a price that gave it a 25% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.2k
BUY Aurora Gaming @ 25¢ · 48,776 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet NS13 took Aurora Gaming (buy) for $12.2k at an average 25¢. At that price the market implied a 25% chance for that side. The market resolved Aurora Gaming. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 25¢ means
25%chance the market gave
+300American odds
$1.00paid per share if Aurora Gaming wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 25¢
- Implied odds
- 25.0%
- As American odds
- +300 no vig
- Size
- $12.2k
- Placed
- Sep 19, 11:22 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 19, 11:30 EDT
- Result
- Aurora Gaming
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- NS13
- Tx
- 0x42f8fa67…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-0.2 pts
expected 9.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +75 ptsAurora Gaming price · entry 25¢ · resolved Aurora Gaming
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Vitality @ 52¢ | $11.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Vitality @ 51¢ | $10.6k | excluded |