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What this means. A wallet put $21.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.2k
BUY Yes @ 92.5¢ · 22,878 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet zb8 took Yes (buy) for $21.2k at an average 92.5¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 92¢ means
92%chance the market gave
−1233American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 92.5¢
- Implied odds
- 92.5%
- Size
- $21.2k
- Placed
- Jul 20, 17:23 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- zb8
- Tx
- 0x3edd45c6…
This wallet's graded record
1/5-14.2 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +7 ptsYes price · entry 92.5¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.1k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |