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What this means. A wallet put $10.6k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.6k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 10,618 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet sinestia took Yes (sell) for $10.6k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $10.6k
- Placed
- Feb 01, 16:48 EST
- Market close
- Feb 01, 14:45 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- sinestia
- Tx
- 0x3bebeb4c…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-66.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $622.5k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01? | LOW BUY No @ 42¢ | $13.0k | excluded |