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What this means. A wallet put $42.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?excluded
$42.9k
SELL No @ 50¢ · 85,890 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x709e…66f5 took No (sell) for $42.9k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $42.9k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
50¢
Implied odds
50.0%
As American odds
−100 no vig
Size
$42.9k
Placed
Jun 18, 11:51 EDT
Market close
Jun 18, 12:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x709e…66f5
Tx
0x38d0af0b…
This wallet's graded record
7/9+24.9 pts
expected 4.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -50 pts
No price · entry 50¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 50¢ · $42.9k WHALE $42.9K @ 50¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $28.5k0% TableMax128d agoexcluded
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $40.4k0% 0xf751…fec8128d agoexcluded
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $28.5k1% suntori LOSING128d agoexcluded
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?LOW SELL No @ 78¢ $10.2k22% Feromont128d agoexcluded
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?MED BUY Yes @ 81¢ $34.7k81% swisstony PROVEN128d agoexcluded
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?LOW SELL Yes @ 79¢ $10.3k21% HammyHammy128d agoexcluded