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What this means. A wallet put $22.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-0.3 pts over 21 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?called
$22.8k
BUY Yes @ 57¢ · 40,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet betwick took Yes (buy) for $22.8k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $22.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 57¢ means
57%chance the market gave
−133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
57¢
Implied odds
57.0%
Size
$22.8k
Placed
Sep 01, 04:41 EDT
Market close
Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
betwick
Tx
0x342a1327…
This wallet's graded record
12/21-0.3 pts
expected 12.1 from price
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