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What this means. A wallet put $83.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 21% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded
$83.0k
SELL Yes @ 79¢ · 105,297 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)3× this wallet's usual betEconomy

What happened

Wallet coali10 took Yes (sell) for $83.0k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 21% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $83.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
79¢
Implied odds
21.2%
Size
$83.0k
Placed
Jul 29, 03:10 EDT
Market close
Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
coali10
Tx
0x30f0bc28…
This wallet's graded record
6/7+23.4 pts
expected 4.4 from price

Other flags on this market

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