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What this means. A wallet put $13.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.4k
BUY Yes @ 48¢ · 27,559 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet cnyek took Yes (buy) for $13.4k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+106American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 48.5%
- As American odds
- +106 no vig
- Size
- $13.4k
- Placed
- Aug 17, 18:04 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 18, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- cnyek
- Tx
- 0x2d3f7e2b…
This wallet's graded record
9/12+22.6 pts
expected 6.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -48 ptsYes price · entry 48¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18? | MED BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $192.0k | excluded |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18? | LOW BUY No @ 55¢ | $19.5k | called |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 48¢ | $14.7k | called |