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What this means. A wallet put $42.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. It lost. This wallet has a proven record: +19.3 pts vs the price over 30 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$42.5k
BUY No @ 42¢ · 100,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hProven wallet2.4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet purplegatto took No (buy) for $42.5k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $42.5k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+135American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 42¢
- Implied odds
- 42.5%
- As American odds
- +135 no vig
- Size
- $42.5k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 09:05 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 26, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- purplegatto
- Tx
- 0x2b8ca26b…
This wallet's graded record
27/30+19.3 pts
expected 21.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -42 ptsNo price · entry 42¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $41.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.8k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |